Car problems due to lockdown

Discussion in 'Off-Topic Discussion' started by JWK, Apr 6, 2020.

  1. JWK

    JWK Gardener Staff Member

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    Good posts @Kristen and @Fat Controller :dbgrtmb:

    Sorry to contradict but battery storage is already in use, has been for a couple of years and is ramping up fast. They look like metal ship's containers, stuffed with batteries that sit alongside solar panel farms, Also since the 1980s we have Dinorwig which is a pumped storage station in Wales. It's well worth a visit by the way as it's an amazing feat of engineering. Water is pumped up to the top of the mountain at night using capacity that would otherwise be discarded. Then whenever there is a sudden surge in demand the sluice is opened and water powers turbines on the way down, it has a capacity of 9Gwh and can be brought online in a matter of minutes.

    Grid capacity has been reduced to match the reduced demand over the last few years. Conventional power stations are gradually being turned off, last year for the very first time in over a hundred years we switched off all the coal fired stations for a week. As a country I feel proud about that, renewables are taking over and are already being used to keep the frequency within tolerance, so I don't see it as being a headache.

    Agreed but a good start has been made, in London, some 20 miles of very deep tunnels are already dug and are now being fitted with high voltage cables to power kerbside chargers across the capital:
    London Power Tunnels | National Grid ET

    That's Ok if you are in London, we need similar schemes all over the UK.

    I had a test drive when they first came out and it was both slow and ugly. The latest model is still ugly but much nippier and has a decent range too, I wouldn't mind having one. Secondhand Leaf prices have actually been going up the last two years because they make an excellent second 'shopper' car, they cost next to nothing to run and the worry about battery life has been unfounded.

    I see where you are coming from, but from my brief EV relationship they are not as expensive to run as you might think. My new BMW i3 was about £360/month to lease, no upfront costs (i.e. no deposit) and includes insurance and 'free' electric and maintenance. It was a rolling month by month deal (because I was on a short term contract and I needed something for commuting), if you go for a 3 or 4 year PCP it will be substantially less. I did the sums when I leased the EV and a comparable ICE car was more expensive month by month even though the ICE was about 10K cheaper to buy outright.

    To get a more suitable bigger family car the Korean models are not much more than my little BMW i3, when I come to replace my ICE in two years it will be one of those.
     
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    • Fat Controller

      Fat Controller 'Cuddly' Scottish Admin! Staff Member

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      OK, let me qualify on the battery technology - battery tech for the grid to be sustainable for any length of time is a non-starter, unless of course we have huge battery farms and even then there is the problem of harmonising that power with the grid (batteries store DC, the grid needs AC at 50Hz or thereabouts to remain stable.

      I have visited Cruachan power station which is a pumped storage facility, and it has turbines the same as those I described earlier.

      Regarding the lease of your BMW i3, that does seem quite cheap which makes me suspect it was on some sort of business tariff - as you know, I recently switched cars, and looked at electrics and hybrids and they were prohibitively expensive. That may be that I was in the 2-3 year old vehicle arena, so the deals were different, but I did look at some new deals also and could not find anything sensible money wise, and there remained the fact that if I was tying myself to a car for £300+ per month, I at least wanted to like the thing (and no disrespect, but I couldn't like the i3 less if I tried)
       
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      • Kristen

        Kristen Under gardener

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        Time of use metering. Power will become very expensive in the evening (there are already tariffs in UK that have that ...). That will of course disadvantage the poor, again.

        Indeed. Designed for peak running for short period, not continuous running (heat dissipation and so on)

        Personally I think that is a good thing. I remember at the beginning it being touted as "too cheap to meter" but the costs have spiralled, and decommissioning is a tax we leave to the next generation ...

        But I don't know how we will handle "when the wind doesn't blow, and the sun doesn't shine" with renewables ...

        hehehe ... I'll frame that and put it on the wall ... "FC's Dire Warning" ... I don't understand Economics .. we seem to be making money these days by having given up making EVERYTHING ... well, except for Veg here on GC of course :)

        I was gung ho for iPace to be a huge success when it came out. I loved their strap line in the launch material : "Electrifying performance" ... brilliant!

        :) That's the Model-X.

        I think with small kids the act of putting them into back car-seats can be a strain on the back for plenty of people, and the whole gull-wing door means you can stand there and have access to seat-straps and so on without a lot of awkward bending, and it must be a boon when it is raining :) But, yeah, personally I too think that is a "look at me" model ... rehash of the old gag "What's the difference between a Range Rover and a Hedgehog?" A:"Pricks are on the inside" ...

        Yup. But I rarely need/use it. 90% of my driving is tootling along dual carriageway at speed limit plus-a-bit, or in traffic. I can't quite describe why, but it is so much more pleasant to do that in an EV. Far less tiring on long journeys. I read somewhere that a Psychologist said one of the reasons is 'coz the driver feels smug. Fair enough, works for me!
         
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        • Kristen

          Kristen Under gardener

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          Had to post this :

          headline: "You won’t believe it but this Tesla Model 3 is still ‘driveable’"

          Photo:

          [​IMG]

          :)
           
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          • shiney

            shiney President, Grumpy Old Men's Club Staff Member

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            :loll:
             
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            • shiney

              shiney President, Grumpy Old Men's Club Staff Member

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              Don't get @CanadianLori started on 'time metering'! :yikes:

              Whoops! I've done it now! :doh: :lunapic 130165696578242 5:
               
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              • shiney

                shiney President, Grumpy Old Men's Club Staff Member

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                As most of you know, I'm not very technical but I saw plans a couple of years ago for something of a similar idea but using pressurised air. This was designed to use underground chambers (preferably utilising old coal, gas and oil mines) to use excess natural energy electrical production to power compressors. These would compress air into the underground chambers and when there is the need for extra electricity the compressed air would be released to power generating turbines.
                 
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                • shiney

                  shiney President, Grumpy Old Men's Club Staff Member

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                • Kristen

                  Kristen Under gardener

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                  I think we are going to need something inter-seasonal. No idea what that might be ... melt salt perhaps.

                  The USA is fortunate because it is a long way South. The 49th parallel, the border between Canada and USA, is South of the whole of the UK (actually the majority of Germany is North of that latitude too, along with Belgium and Holland). New York latitude is 40 North ... and I think of that as being "up the top of USA", but that's the same as Madrid over here. JR's Dallas, and the North border of Florida, are 30 North, which is same as North Africa and Cairo

                  So USA can get decent PV output in Winter. In UK the Winter PV is only about 10% of Summer insolation ... so storing Summer Excess to Winter would be good.

                  I did wonder if I could have a socking great big concrete block that I could, slowly, winch up during the summer, and get energy from by lowering in Winter. Someone who knew the maths worked out the size of the concrete block and height it would be raised - both were gargantuan numbers :frown:

                  Ideas on a postcard pls ...
                   
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                  • JWK

                    JWK Gardener Staff Member

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                    It was a personal tariff, this is the company I used:
                    Get a Practical Renault Zoe R110 Monthly Car Subscription · Evezy
                    They have hiked up their prices recently so the cheapest now is a Zoe for £339.


                    I would not recommend it either! Having a test drive around town vs spending 6 months with it are two very different things. Around town and most of my commute were very enjoyable. To improve kWh it is very light and has skinny low rolling resistance tyres, these were the biggest problem for me as the slightest bit of windy weather it gets blown around like a 1950s Austin on crossplys. The suicide doors are very impractical and unnecessarily expensive to manufacture. It has very little boot space and it is only a 4 seater so apart from it's good looks :) it doesn't have much going for it as a family car.
                     
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                    • Fat Controller

                      Fat Controller 'Cuddly' Scottish Admin! Staff Member

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                      Exactly my point. This is one of the main reasons they want to roll out smart metering and have us all get used to smart appliances, because 'they' want the ability to switch them off when they are struggling for capacity in the grid. Harmless for the most part - switching a freezer off for 20 mins or so is not really going to do much harm (to be fair, they spend large chunks of their life pretty much in an off state anyway), however it is the principle that we should be kicking back at. What is the next move - switching your heating off for an hour because although not at your desired temperature, your house is at 20º and it has been mandated that this is sufficient?

                      Again, this all feeds back into more and more control being taken over our personal lives at the same time as us being forced to pay for the pleasure - - what gives people the right to essentially decide how we run portions of our private lives? It is another example of the elites patting the scum on the head and saying "it is for your own good - - you'll thank us for it really" just before raping their bank balance again. The really astonishing thing is that people cannot seem to see why this has led to people like Trump being elected.

                      Oh, and for the record we do actually make quite a lot in this country - from cars to plane parts, cosmetics and chemicals. We used to make a lot more, but that dwindled thanks to big corp greed and grants from the EU to move production away - a whole different thread, but a trend that we absolutely must reverse.

                      The theory makes sense, however I would be concerned about pumping pressurised air into those underground chambers; holding a liquid, even under pressure, is one thing but holding a gas is a whole different bag of monkeys. Pumped storage is a proven technology and whilst currently it has been the preserve of mountainous areas because they offer a bit of help thanks to their geology, there is absolutely no reason why we couldn't either construct more of them in similar locations or indeed create the conditions required in other locations. Indeed, this could be done in conjunction with better waterway management in general, and even storm drains and oversized lower reservoirs at the power stations to handle flood waters in storms.

                      Again, the age old problem of this country would pop up though - we would argue about it for thirty years, make a start on doing it and then somebody would come along and change the plan just after work had started.
                       
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                      • Fat Controller

                        Fat Controller 'Cuddly' Scottish Admin! Staff Member

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                        That is still not terrible in terms of a monthly payment for a new car - the issue is that it is a car that nobody wants. The only one that would even remotely get consideration out of that bunch would be the Hyundai - Get an excellent Hyundai IONIQ Car Subscription · Evezy - but at £419 a month, it is a hell of a lot of money; worse still, it has a real world range of 120 miles; that is fine for commuting for the most part, but throw anything more at it and you are stuffed. The Tesla Model 3 SR+ is a slightly more sensible option, but still has a bit of a rubbish range (220 miles) and is £799 per month! For balance, I am sitting in a fully loaded Jaguar XF that will do over 500 miles on a tankful of motion lotion, is costing me just over £300 a month as a used buy, with 20,000 miles on the clock. To be fair, even that was more than I wanted to pay initially, but things like condition, mileage, spec and so on all fed in. Diesel costs (pre world madness!) were around £60 to £80 per month. Even assuming the running costs of a Ioniq or Model 3 would be around £15 -£20 per month, I am still cheaper running the Jag.

                        The other point that is often body-swerved with electric cars is the battery liability - when you are the first owner, or leasing the car, you don't care because you don't have to. What happens when these cars really start to come through on the used market? What of the battery liability for second or third owners, because they are not cheap. Even the lease contracts on electric buses, coaches, vans and so on all have some sort of clauses in them relating to battery liability - you must not do more than a certain number of miles before charging each day, and the battery liability is covered in the cost of the lease; even the LT's (Borismasters) that you see trundling around London have their battery liability covered by TfL (they own the buses, operators just lease them) because the bus operators wouldn't touch them with a barge pole under any other circumstances, such is the cost of the batteries.

                        What happens when that Ioniq reaches 7 years old and Mr Smith finds that it needs a new battery..... do you really see anyone dropping £4k or so on a new battery (accepted they may get cheaper, but not likely to drop by a huge amount), because I don't. I see 7 or 8 year old cars getting scrapped and causing even more of an environmental headache.
                         
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                        • shiney

                          shiney President, Grumpy Old Men's Club Staff Member

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                          My brother-in-law owns a gas company that does exactly that! They store gas in underground caverns. I'm guessing that it would also be under pressure otherwise it would be too awkward to get out again. Although it may not be as much pressure as may be needed to drive a turbine.
                           
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                          • Fat Controller

                            Fat Controller 'Cuddly' Scottish Admin! Staff Member

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                            Interesting - what gas is it? I presume that it is not air, in which case it begs the question if it liquefies when put under pressure and is being stored in its liquid form?

                            Its a good way of storing up energy (assuming of course we can produce sufficient surplus), and I can't see why it couldn't be put to a high enough pressure to drive a turbine; I'd imagine the bulk of the grunt needed would be to start the blighter spinning, once that is achieved all you are looking for is enough pressure to keep it going.

                            We need to consider all of these sort of things in making improvements to the way we use and store energy. I am feeling as though I am coming across as being very 'anti' in this thread, and it is not the case at all, at least when it comes to the technologies; what I am against is things being mandated/dictated without any joined up thinking, often at the cost of those who can afford it least, and being driven by those who don't care what it costs because they are loaded and "I'm alright Jack"
                             
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                            • Kristen

                              Kristen Under gardener

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                              I have a different view :) You can pay for sufficient power stations to always have enough generating capacity, even though it is mostly sitting idle Or you can make high-use periods expensive so that people switch off what they don't need. I hate waste, so I would prefer the later rather than having Peaker Plants sitting idle 99% of the time .... but if someone solves battery storage or pumping-water-uphill I guess that would be fine.

                              The problem with this, as I see it, is that we are still chucking up lousy, poorly insulated, housing stock. It seems to be to be a no-brainer to change Building Regs to require new houses to be built sufficiently insulated to require virtually no heat in winter. It is straightforward to build a 3 bedroom house that has a maximum heating requirement of 3kW (and by maximum I, of course, mean that it only needs that on those fairly rare occasions when the temperature outside is properly Arctic :) )

                              So we continue to build with mediocre specification, and then expect the householder to improve this over time. The householder is happy because they paid less for the house initially (even thought the figure for a Passive House build is only 7% higher initial cost, and then £0 on central heating maintenance and boiler replacement for the lifetime of the building, and pennies for winter heating) but the householder is actually screwed over 'coz the Home Improvement cost is an ongoing significant cost ... and far far more expensive than right-first-time.

                              The push to Heat Pumps for central heating will only work if the house is well insulated, and retro-fitting that is expensive and extraordinarily difficult to do.

                              I don't hold that view. Its is "choice" rather than an all-you-can-eat buffet at someone else's expense. We need to reduce energy, we need to stop burning fossil fuels, there are some huge upsides available, but unfortunately some difficult compromises along the way.

                              In the last recession the government could have said, to the building trade which was in the doldrums, "insulate everyone's homes" ... would have kept them busy, helped the economy, and reduced the balance of payments with Oil States for ever afterwards ... so in my simplistic brain would be cost-neutral. We could do that now ... (although I doubt they are reading this :) )

                              Yeah, I was being facetious (as usual) apologies. I'm not convinced that our main product being Banking, with all the Fat Cat usury, greed and avarice that attracts, is a Good Thing.

                              With respect I think that is a non-EV owner's viewpoint. I started with a 250 mile range EV and had huge range-anxiety before owning it. And that was over 4 years ago, lots of things are better now than then (including the trip-planning tools). In over 100,000 EV miles I have only on one occasion misjudged it and got home with only a couple of miles to spare; that was unexpected foul weather and, in those days, nowhere to top-up on that route)

                              If you drive more than 220 miles every day then i agree. If you road trip, like the Americans, then I would consider it a bore (30 minute stop every couple of hours). But if you drive out-of-range a couple of times a month it is negligible inconvenience (**). Any less often than that and ... JFDI :)

                              in an EV (provided you have charging at destination) you don't stop to fill the tank as with Petrol, you just put in the minimum you need to reach destination. So on a 300 mile day you need to add 100 miles. Supercharger is around 350 MPH charging speed, so "20 minute stop" - which is no bad thing on a 300 mile journey :)

                              (**) my driving profile on first EV was pretty much 2 days a month out of range. Sometimes a 5 minute splash-and-dash and the average was less than 20 minutes, but I'll go with that. 40 minutes a month. 8 hours a year.

                              Previously on Diesel: 30,000 miles a year, 600 miles at each fillup, 10 minutes per stop (assuming you don't buy at supermarket and also have to queue-for-a-pump). That's 8 hours too.

                              Its just "different" to a Fossil Fuel car, but after the "adjustment" it becomes normal. I can glance at the battery percentage and figure how I am doing on a journey (but that isn't necessary, the dashboard shows exactly how much juice I will have on arrival, and thus if I must slow down or charge). Mrs K absolutely cannot do any Mental Maths remotely like that ... but she manages just fine and has done horrendous "university rescue" journeys in the depths of winter without a hitch.

                              (But as you will I am sure have gathered: that is Tesla. The current 3rd party charging infrastructure is a very different ball-of-wax. Lots being rolled out, but huge turf-wars going on, and thus loads of infighting between participants - so lots of "Unless you take out a monthly subscription you will have to give both arms and legs to charge here". Imagine that if you stopped at Shell for petrol and you had to take out a monthly subscription ... and at Esso too ... and Sainsbury/Tesco/etc)

                              I can't speak for all, but I think its a non-issue. Plenty of examples of Airport taxis, charged to 100% and left standing overnight, frequently rapid charged instead of "gently" at home ... all the worst things you can do to an EV battery ... and they have 6-7% degradation at 200,000 miles. I expect an ICE would have some piston-slap by then and several percent efficiency lost :)

                              Agree, that would be bad. Tesla are talking about million-mile vehicles, that is their expected life of next generation batteries, so their challenge is to make the rest of the car last that long. Personally I wouldn't touch an existing 6-7 year old EV with a barge pole, but the current ones should last well and next generation even better. Battery will have a long second-life as static storage, so may well be that it is economic to replace (i.e. old battery has useful value), and in 7 years time the replacement battery will be what? 20-25% of the original cost, given the way battery cost is falling.

                              But I am doubtful people will be putting new batteries into old body shells ... given the rate-of-change of the Tech will want people to hanker after newer ones - same as the iPhone consumerism marketing route ...

                              ... but of course you are completely missing the point which is that we won't own any cars by then, we will all be being driven around in self driving cars. I know that for a fact because Elon said it <thud!>
                               
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