Corona Virus Treatment

I've been looking at the information on 'Covid Dashboard' for areas/wards mentioned in the media for recent additions of whole Local Authority areas to Tier 3, Official UK Coronavirus Dashboard to get an idea of how their infection rates compared to the likes of Liverpool and Manchester when they were put in Tier 3.

One ward I tried checking kept throwing up loads of 'postcode does not exist' errors when I had been copying and pasting them from online searches for shops, schools, pubs, etc. within that ward. As the part of that ward I was searching is a major new housing site, not all its new postcodes appear to be in the government's database.

The 7 day % increase for infections in that ward yesterday was 55%, and today it's 70% which is a tremendous change to a 7 day period to occur in just one day. That's the equivalent of 70 - 55 = 15% x 7 = 105% in just one day required to increase the 7 day percentage by that amount.

That may explain why that ward's infections are 450/100,000 and another neaby problem ward's are 600/100,000. As those are 5 day old 7 day averages, their current rates are probably over 1,000/100,000, much worse than in Liverpool and Manchester when they went into Tier 3.

Combine that with the fact that their rate of infection has tripled over 7 days, with current Xmas shopping and forthcoming family gatherings over 5 days, visiting them all over the country, might mean things are going to get really bad in the New Year.

 

New Year has been "cancelled" here ...

"The Prime Minister announced tonight that New Year's Eve (December 31) will have a curfew at 11 pm across the country. On the other hand, on the 1st, 2nd and 3rd of January, there will be a ban on circulation on the public road from 1 pm, with the ban on circulation between municipalities being maintained between 00:00 on December 31 and 05:00 on 4 December January, except for health, urgent or other reasons specifically provided for.

"Comparing with New Year, there’s no “cultural tradition” of doing this; it’s usually a celebration with friends and some family if possible, BUT out at a party, either a restaurant or at an event. So it has a lesser impact on the feeling/emotional relations that people have with the date compared to Christmas. In other words Christmas is much more important.

"When we compare Christmas and New Year, some on social media have commented that both should be treated the same as far as the imposition of measures are concerned. However, we need to remember that we are in Portugal and for the Portuguese there are two major festivities where the family traditionally get together – Easter and Christmas.

"The main Christmas celebration in Portugal is the night of 24th and it’s at home, not in restaurants. Usually what families do when they have to, is divide themselves between more than one family house for the celebrations. Often this means having the 24th dinner/night at one family relations house and on the 25th lunch/afternoon in the other family relations house. Usually this happens when the husband’s family are living in one concelho and the wife’s family in another concelho far away, or the other way round.

"That’s why freedom of movements on those nights are so important."

For Christmas, restaurants must close at 1.00am on the 25th following the Christmas Eve celebrations and at 3.30pm on the 25th following Christmas Day celebrations. Groups of no more than 10. On normal circumstances groups of no more than six.

"Concelho" means County/Municipality.

 

Pre Tier 3/Lockdown 2, Manchester and Liverpool had infection rates of over 700/100,000/day (7 day average), and when I checked yesterday they'd both gone down to some like 85/100,000/day. As their schools weren't closed, only pubs, etc., that appears to eliminate schools as their major source of infections.

 

Some thing i would say, but i'm not going too as it will not go down to well, but it would have a big affect

 

Many people ignore whatever the regulations/rules/advice requires them to do, and the police refuse to enforce them [1].

The only thing that might work is the army on the streets wielding big sticks and beating anybody getting out of order.


[1] Apart from stupid activities, like charging garden centre owners for selling cut flowers, setting up roadblocks to catch people buying Easter eggs, monitoring consumption of scotch eggs in pubs, etc.

 

I can see from what's going on around here we'll be in fully lock down before christmas and as we live in a very very quite place then i can see why towns and citys have high cv, first lock down people were following the rules, now it looks like there is on rules, i know cv isn't far away, now it's going to be even closer from what i'm seeing today, oh well perhaps i should give up and breck the rules as well

 

Downing Street briefing 4pm today !