Brexit - am I stupid or what?

Discussion in 'Off-Topic Discussion' started by PeterS, Dec 16, 2017.

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  1. WeeTam

    WeeTam Total Gardener

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    Its the end Of May now....
     
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    • Jiffy

      Jiffy The Match is on Fire

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      I thought it was December not May :snorky:
       
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      • pete

        pete Growing a bit of this and a bit of that....

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        No its not, its the beginning of December.:lunapic 130165696578242 5:
        Sorry.

        Well personally I still want to leave, but I cant see that happening, up till now being a bit, not so clever, I thought the May deal might be workable, but bearing in mind that dreaded "back stop" nonsense and most of the "clever" people thinking its a rubbish deal, I'm having second thoughts.

        I now see that some bunch of EU "clever" people in Luxembourg have said that we could rejoin without changing our status before all this started,
        I'm now smelling a rat, a big RAT, and wondering just what this DEAL is that May has come up with and how much has been going on behind the scenes to scupper the whole thing, that we will never know about, for the next 30 yrs.
         
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        • SimonZ

          SimonZ Gardener

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          My predictions on politics are always wrong, but here are my thoughts on how the current imbroglio could unravel: If the Tories somehow move to act on today's Article 50 advice and revoke it, an election could then be called in which they would be able to position themselves as, along with the Lib Dems, a party of Remain (whether under May - unlikely - or a successor such as Anna Soubry) while having squeezed Labour into the position of being pro-Leave, since Corbyn and his inner circle are most committed to Brexit. This would split the Labour vote. Many Tory backbenchers, members and voters would also complain, but as a party they are much more pragmatic than Labour and their priority is always getting / staying in power first and foremost, so ultimately their vote count would be unlikely to go down. There would be trouble further down the line because the Eurosceptics would resume their campaign once safely re-elected, and more deeply committed pro-European voters would vote Lib Dem, but this scenario would spell the ed of Corbyn's Labour, and be a way for the current government (just) to cling on.
           
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          • Freddy

            Freddy Miserable git, well known for it

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            I could (easily) be wrong, but I think a case was brought, probably by pro Europeans, asking whether or not remaining was an option, unitlaterally. So, not out of the blue.
             
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            • pete

              pete Growing a bit of this and a bit of that....

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              Yeah, maybe so Freddy, but there seems to be a plan coming together, not worked it out quite yet.
              But my thoughts are we will remain, but at the same time making it the will of the people.

              I was very suspicious when May was the one doing the deal, we seemed unable to keep a negotiator, not sure why, maybe they actually wanted to "negotiate" rather than follow the plan.

              Time will tell, but I'm sure I will be pushing up daisies before the whole truth of what is going on, comes out.
               
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              • Freddy

                Freddy Miserable git, well known for it

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                We may be at different ends of the spectrum, but one thing I’m sure we can agree on is that our politicians have made a right mess of it. Both parties are at odds with themselves. I’ve always been a Labour voter, but to me their conduct has been...embarrassing. To my mind, there should have been cross-party cooperation to reflect the referendum, even though it was something I didn’t want(Brexit). As it is, we have a ‘deal’ doomed to failure, and a Labour Party wanting a general election, I wonder why? :biggrin: Do they seriously think that their version of ‘Brexit’ (whatever that is) would immediately be accepted by the EU? In the meantime, did the populace vote for a ‘no deal’? Who knows? The whole thing is a mess, did I say that already?:whistle:
                 
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                • Fat Controller

                  Fat Controller 'Cuddly' Scottish Admin! Staff Member

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                  I don't think the Tories would dare to revoke article 50 in their current position at least, because that would be seen to be completely disregarding the will of the people. I also don't think that they want to take the risk that the Labour vote may be split in the way that you suggest - firstly, the Tories have pissed off so many people since getting into power in the coalition, that their traditional voter-base is nowhere near as strong as it was, and there are a lot of people that have had a gutful of being taxed more and more, and seeing more and more cuts, all while the rich just keep on getting richer. It is like a re-run of the 80's in many ways.

                  Corbyn, yes, the man is an idiot in my view - but then, so are almost all politicians; they are little more than overgrown school children who are only ever out to save their own skin and sod everyone else. You only need to look at what is currently happening with Sir Terry Morgan to see that sort of stuff in full swing. Anyway, I digress - I have been a Labour voter throughout my life, with the exception of once when I decided to give Nick Clegg a crack of the whip (and look what that got us!), and even I find Corbyn unelectable. BUT, in many ways I would rather take my chances with him than the Tories, and there is no way in hell that the Lib Dems would ever get my vote again. If there was a sensible alternative - a new party, with common sense at the helm, then they would likely get my vote.

                  The thing with Corbyn, and the thing not to underestimate, is that he is liked by a lot of the younger generation - the generation that are sometimes called 'snowflakes' nowadays; they are a lot more about the human factors than perhaps even people of my generation are, and as such are leaning to the left; then, the unions will rally round behind him - not because they want to see him in power, but because they want to see the Tories OUT.

                  However, I remain firm in my mind that they are going to continue to act this out - making it look like they are doing something or standing up for what is right, and then the proposal will fail when it comes to passing through parliament. Following that, it will be decided that we the people will have to go back to the polls to vote again, and sufficient fear will have been instilled in the public that when coupled with the vast majority of us being sick to the back teeth of the whole thing that the majority will swing marginally the other way, and Brexit will be over.

                  I don't think it will end there though - I do think there will be riots (quite literally) for a while after, and have my own reasons for believing this to be so. Time will tell.

                  Either way, May is only working her way toward her P45, and she knows it -- but still, she has had her five minutes of fame. Oh, and the reason that Cameron's decision will be seen as a terrible mistake is because it was - he believed that he could smirk his way through like the smug barsteward he is, and that the 'little people' would vote the way that he wanted them to :pathd: (wow, finally found a use for that smiley!)

                  well, he got it wrong.
                   
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                  • pete

                    pete Growing a bit of this and a bit of that....

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                    Freddy, Yep, the whole lot of them have made a right mess of it, not just because the result of the referendum has been sidelined but due to the conduct of the MPs, I doubt I will ever bother voting again.
                    I cant think of one that is worth my vote.
                     
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                    • Freddy

                      Freddy Miserable git, well known for it

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                      Excellent post :thumbsup:
                       
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                      • ARMANDII

                        ARMANDII Low Flying Administrator Staff Member

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                        :hate-shocked::runforhills::runforhills::runforhills:
                         
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                        • shiney

                          shiney President, Grumpy Old Men's Club Staff Member

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                          That bit is easy. The government now have to reveal to parliament the details of the legal advice they were given by the Attorney General's office. It doesn't really impact on the current five day debate about May's Deal.

                          Did any of you listen to Farage resigning from UKIP? Interesting little speech. He says he can't stay in the party because it's becoming the National Front/British National Party (my words, not his) and he had built UKIP to specifically ban those people. If it wasn't dead already it's a ,slow, final nail in its coffin.
                           
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                          • wiseowl

                            wiseowl Admin Staff Member

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                            Good morning thank you @shiney so what ever the legal advice contains it won't make any difference then,if that is correct what is all the fuss about:smile:
                             
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                            • shiney

                              shiney President, Grumpy Old Men's Club Staff Member

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                              Depending on what the advice actually was it may have a slight influence on how MPs vote in parliament on May's Deal. This is a five day debate but I can't see the government releasing the advice for another few days yet. :doh:
                               
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                              • Loofah

                                Loofah Admin Staff Member

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                                VAPP - Veterans and Peoples Party. Eminently sensible approach, not sure how much traction they'll get though as a new party

                                UKIP was dead as soon as Farage left; he was the only one with the charisma and stamina to keep it going

                                Yup, can easily see a last minute release of the info! Gamesmanship.

                                Anyhoo, given the result of the 3rd vote yesterday then TM will be out by this time next week and I have no idea how British politics will take it forward after that! They're a mystery! If there is another vote on Brexit though it will have betrayed a democratic vote and the party calling it will be pilloried.
                                 
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