odd plant behaviour: climate change...

Discussion in 'General Gardening Discussion' started by Hartley Botanic, Mar 8, 2010.

  1. Hartley Botanic

    Hartley Botanic Gardener

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    Reading talk of odd/early flowering times on some boards I frequent has made me ponder something, and I wanted to ask you guys:

    Since 'global warming' and 'climate change' have been becoming buzzwords more and more, have you noticed increased odd or different behaviour within your garden?

    In England (where I am anyway), any remotely strange weather occurrence happens and everyone puts it down to climate change etc. Just wondered what the gardeners here thought about this?
     
  2. Sussexgardener

    Sussexgardener Gardener

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    Just what I've said before - 'summer' seems to have shifted slightly earlier to May and June. The last few years have seen glorious weather in those months, followed by less than summer-like weather in July and August.
     
  3. PeterS

    PeterS Total Gardener

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    I think the problm Hartley is that we are talking of very small changes in temperature. A global warming of 2C is not that big, and will likely be masked by much larger changes in temperature that occur from year to year as part of the normal weather cycles. Consequently I think it will be difficult for us as individuals to seperate climate change from random changes.

    You really have to resort to statistics to see the effects. Having said that, a real global change as small as 2C can have a huge impact on the earth as a whole. It can make the wheat belt in Russia or other countries move some 200 or miles or more to the north. I read the figure once - but can't find the source. I can't remember if it is 200 or even 500 miles. This means huge areas will no longer be able to grow their staple crops, but that other areas will. The upset will be huge.

    No one can be ever be sure about climate change but I think the graph below is one of the most sobering, and is difficult to explain away as normal variation. The graph shows the concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere over the last few hundred thousand years. We know that carbon dioxide is a greenhouse gas, but because of the size of the earth, it could well be that the effect from the recent rise in CO2 levels may not fully manifest itself for another 100 years or more.

    [​IMG]
     
  4. andrewh

    andrewh Gardener

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    I've definitely seen lots of odd behaviour. It's difficult to sum up - things flowering at increasingly odd times, spring bulbs emerging in Autumn, really early arrival of Spring. Mostly quite subtle things that gardeners intuitively know are "odd".

    We probably underestimate how sensitive our environment is. The amount that man is causing the climate to change might sound small, but the effect on the climate is already noticable. And God knows what the future holds!
     
  5. theplantman

    theplantman Gardener

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    I totally agree with pete...we dont live for long enough to actually notice climatic changes, we may notice an unusually cold or warm decade but they could be a blip with the long term trend the complete opposite. Weather has so many variables, thats why nobody can say for certain if we are impacting or not. But Clarkson and his daily mail reading, immigrant bashing climate change denying mob really p£$ss me off.. Even if man is not warming the climate cutting down on what we remove from the earth is a neccassity ....the expoding population will get us before the weather anyway!
     
  6. PeterS

    PeterS Total Gardener

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    Hartley - I am sorry, this is going off topic a bit. But I have to agree with theplantsman that even if there were no such thing as global warming, we still need to go through the exercise of getting international agreement to address the other, very real, problems of dwindling natural resources {in particular oil - but other resources as well), and the exploding population.
     
  7. andrewh

    andrewh Gardener

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    I disagree. The climate is changing so rapidly due to man's activity that we are already seeing fairly dramatic effects, all over the world, but also in our gardens.

    As a young 'un, I dread to think what gardening will be like when I'm an old bloke propping up my bar stool showing the pub regulars my prize parsnips!!
     
  8. Sussexgardener

    Sussexgardener Gardener

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    As reported on the BBC due to the 'prolonged' cold weather, daffodil growers are panicking slightly because their blooms won't be open in time for Mother's Day presents this Sunday...but they will be looking marvellous by Easter!
     
  9. pete

    pete Growing a bit of this and a bit of that....

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    If you had asked the same question two years ago Hartley, my reply would have been, yes I have noticed some changes gardening wise.
    After the last TWO and I hasten to add TWO winters and summers, my reply is no, very little difference from when I started gardening back in the early 70s.

    After last winter it was said that we had just gone through a 30yr winter and its likely to be a very long time before we see one like it again.
    Hang on you "experts", its been even worse this year.

    Now I'm just wondering, has this been the 60yr winter, or is next winter going to be worse than this?
    It would take a few years for things to get back to how they were before the string of mild winters, but I'm sure it may well happen if it carries on like this for a few more years.
     
  10. shiney

    shiney President, Grumpy Old Men's Club Staff Member

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    I find it hard to come to a conclusion about climate change and whether the differences we have seen in recent years are part of a trend. Having said that I do agree that we need to conserve resources and try and change the way we do things as the world population is growing at a fantastic rate. Unfortunately, as individuals, I can't see us changing our lifestyles in any drastic way that will have an effect on this. I admit that I still drive my car and also fly to foreign parts on holiday. I try to conserve in other ways but do not wish to compromise on these two matters.

    There is no doubt in my mind that the climate has changed but I am not conversant enough with the science to come to a conclusion about why. The winters seem nowhere near as cold and long as when I was younger (apart from the odd exception like this year) and my father used to tell me that he regularly used to ice skate on the Thames in winter.

    What effect is it having on my garden? In the last ten years the lawn has continued to grow throughout the winter. I used to do the last cut in late October and the first in early March. Nowadays there is no more than a six week gap. Plants have been coming into leaf and flower much earlier than they used to but our spring flowers this year are later than normal - except that the bee orchids are in leaf at least 3-4 weeks earlier than usual :scratch:.

    As a gardener I adapt to the weather but I know that we have had a total shift in the rainfall patterns as our village magazine publish the monthly rainfall figures for the village and compare it to the rainfall in the last 60 yrs. Winters are dryer and summers are wetter.

    Whether it is down to 'Climate Change' or is just a change in the climate I haven't the faintest. :flag:
     
  11. Hartley Botanic

    Hartley Botanic Gardener

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    Thank you for replying everyone. And I am never opposed to topic shifts, I like to provoke a nice to and fro where possible :thumb:
     
  12. daitheplant

    daitheplant Total Gardener

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    The planet has been warming up and cooling down for the last 2 billion years for goodness sake. It`s just another step in our ecological history.:gnthb: Also the " climate scientists " are starting to be found to be liars of the first order.:D:thmb:
     
  13. Hartley Botanic

    Hartley Botanic Gardener

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    You don't think the impact of civilisation has any bearing of note then? Do you think we humans are flattering ourselves to think such a thing...? :cnfs::)
     
  14. daitheplant

    daitheplant Total Gardener

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    If, and I say if, any damage was caused to the atmosphere by carbon emission. Then that damage was caused by the coal guzzling people of the Georgian/ Victorian age. As for there being a hole in the Ozone layer, what a load of Bovine Manure. :gnthb:
     
  15. Makka-Bakka

    Makka-Bakka Gardener

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    .

    When i was a teenager, we were in my pals granddads house watching TV.
    There was a scene showing refugees fleeing from the Germans in the SWW, something was said (I cannot remember what, by one of us) his Granddad said, when you see a crowd of people all going the one way, you go in a different direction.

    The CHANCERS who are making an incredible amount of money ( grants and backhanders) out if this, their latest scare, don't want anyone to doubt their word, as then the gravy train would halt.

    Don't forget, at first they called it "global warming" and for a few years there was an increase in some places in temperatures, then when there was a few colder years and ordinary people started laughing at them, they then called it climate change, so they were able to have their cake and eat it!

    And what do governments do, they tax us even more, on the evil pretence that they are saving the planet!

    In my short time on the planet, we have had wet years and dry years, warm years and cold years, whatever next?

    .
     
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