Corona Virus Treatment

Discussion in 'Off-Topic Discussion' started by ricky101, Feb 10, 2020.

  1. shiney

    shiney President, Grumpy Old Men's Club Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jul 3, 2006
    Messages:
    63,632
    Gender:
    Male
    Occupation:
    Retired - Last Century!!!
    Location:
    Herts/Essex border. Zone 8b
    Ratings:
    +124,173
    Just looked up the government website and it's 11- 51 :noidea:

    Official UK Coronavirus Dashboard
     
  2. wiseowl

    wiseowl Admin Staff Member

    Joined:
    Oct 29, 2006
    Messages:
    44,916
    Gender:
    Male
    Occupation:
    Philosophy of people
    Location:
    In a barn somewhere in North Kent
    Ratings:
    +92,120
  3. Freddy

    Freddy Miserable git, well known for it

    Joined:
    Jul 15, 2007
    Messages:
    9,466
    Gender:
    Male
    Occupation:
    Retired - yay!
    Location:
    Bristol
    Ratings:
    +12,518
    I’m no expert, but I think your numbers demonstrate the need for those at risk to get themselves immunised. The need for masks and social distancing? I’m guessing that will depend mostly on the rate of infection/number of cases (suck it and see). Ultimately, it’s in ‘our’ own hands, so this will probably carry on longer than it needs to.
     
    • Agree Agree x 4
    • Scrungee

      Scrungee Well known for it

      Joined:
      Dec 5, 2010
      Messages:
      16,524
      Location:
      Central England on heavy clay soil
      Ratings:
      +28,997
      Postcode for garden open days gives Uttlesford as your Local Authority area:

      Screenshot_20201111-042630.png


      If different sites are giving different infection rates it could mislead some people into believing they are in areas of low infection, when in fact they are rising rapidly.

      I also check adjoining areas as hordes of them are streaming out into the countryside pass9ng through our village on foot, bike, etc. and using our pubs and shop.

      Whenever I see my local area is supposed to be low, I do not change my behaviour and become complacent, but continue to act as if everybody out there may have it.
       
      • Agree Agree x 3
        Last edited: Nov 11, 2020
      • shiney

        shiney President, Grumpy Old Men's Club Staff Member

        Joined:
        Jul 3, 2006
        Messages:
        63,632
        Gender:
        Male
        Occupation:
        Retired - Last Century!!!
        Location:
        Herts/Essex border. Zone 8b
        Ratings:
        +124,173
        Good morning @wiseowl :) I thought I would use the official government site and would certainly have done so if I'd known it was lower. I like lower. :heehee:

        I've now looked up the latest figures for our parish, seven days to Nov 5th, and it shows 76.8 cases. Does that mean that one person only has 80% of the coronavirus? :scratch:
         
        • Like Like x 1
        • shiney

          shiney President, Grumpy Old Men's Club Staff Member

          Joined:
          Jul 3, 2006
          Messages:
          63,632
          Gender:
          Male
          Occupation:
          Retired - Last Century!!!
          Location:
          Herts/Essex border. Zone 8b
          Ratings:
          +124,173
          @Scrungee I've just looked up the official rate which must differ from your official rate :scratch:

          MSOA rate

          Suppressed

          0 – 10

          11 – 50

          51 – 100

          101 – 200

          201 – 400

          400 +

          ×

          Hatfield Heath, Hallingburys & RodingsSeven days to 05 November 2020

          Total cases

          63 (100.0%)

          Rolling rate

          76.8

          EDIT - Naughty me! :sad:

          I'm supposed to add this:-

          Attributions
          • Contains MSOA names © Open Parliament copyright and database right 2020
          • Contains Ordnance Survey data © Crown copyright and database right 2020
          • Contains Royal Mail data © Royal Mail copyright and database right 2020
          • Contains Public Health England data © Crown copyright and database right 2020
          • Office for National Statistics licensed under the Open Government Licence v.3.0
          Lookup products and data are supplied under the Open Government Licence. You must use the above copyright statements when you reproduce or use the materials, data, digital boundaries, or postcode products used in this page.
           
        • Scrungee

          Scrungee Well known for it

          Joined:
          Dec 5, 2010
          Messages:
          16,524
          Location:
          Central England on heavy clay soil
          Ratings:
          +28,997
          Might be an error there. Populations of parishes are normally so small that rates per 100,000 may not be an appropriate measure.

          The population of your parish would need to be 1,000,000 (one million), with 768 of them infected with Covid-19 to arrive at an infection rate of 76.8 per 100,000.
           
          Last edited: Nov 11, 2020
        • Freddy

          Freddy Miserable git, well known for it

          Joined:
          Jul 15, 2007
          Messages:
          9,466
          Gender:
          Male
          Occupation:
          Retired - yay!
          Location:
          Bristol
          Ratings:
          +12,518
          No wonder it was busy when I went to shineys :heehee:
           
          • Funny Funny x 5
          • Like Like x 1
          • shiney

            shiney President, Grumpy Old Men's Club Staff Member

            Joined:
            Jul 3, 2006
            Messages:
            63,632
            Gender:
            Male
            Occupation:
            Retired - Last Century!!!
            Location:
            Herts/Essex border. Zone 8b
            Ratings:
            +124,173
            It says 63 (at least it's a whole number :)) and then the rolling rate (whatever that is :scratch:) of 76.8. (I said it was peculiar.)

            I don't really care which it is. :noidea: :heehee:
             
            • Like Like x 1
            • wiseowl

              wiseowl Admin Staff Member

              Joined:
              Oct 29, 2006
              Messages:
              44,916
              Gender:
              Male
              Occupation:
              Philosophy of people
              Location:
              In a barn somewhere in North Kent
              Ratings:
              +92,120
              Good afternoon @shiney my good friend I have looked on 12 sites and they are all different so as you taught me I have decided to go for the lowest figures:heehee::heehee:
               
              • Funny Funny x 3
              • Scrungee

                Scrungee Well known for it

                Joined:
                Dec 5, 2010
                Messages:
                16,524
                Location:
                Central England on heavy clay soil
                Ratings:
                +28,997
                A difference of 16.8 per 100,000 in a parish of 2,000 would mean about one third of a parishioner. How on earth can they differ by less than one whole person? Maybe more dodgy spreadsheets, or a big 'townie' parish with a population around 6,000.
                 
                Last edited: Nov 11, 2020
              • Scrungee

                Scrungee Well known for it

                Joined:
                Dec 5, 2010
                Messages:
                16,524
                Location:
                Central England on heavy clay soil
                Ratings:
                +28,997
                Have you checked the infection rate around your local school here COVID-19 Map for schools

                Might help you get to 13 :thumbsup:
                 
              • shiney

                shiney President, Grumpy Old Men's Club Staff Member

                Joined:
                Jul 3, 2006
                Messages:
                63,632
                Gender:
                Male
                Occupation:
                Retired - Last Century!!!
                Location:
                Herts/Essex border. Zone 8b
                Ratings:
                +124,173
                Really can be bothered - but a quick look works out that we have about 1.35 children in the school with coronavirus. :loll:

                I did walk past the school this morning and they were just as noisy as usual. :heehee:

                Trying to calculate small numbers certainly messes up the system. :whistle:

                Both @wiseowl and myself pick what we like the best and we keep ourselves away from others anyway :noidea:
                 
                • Like Like x 2
                • wiseowl

                  wiseowl Admin Staff Member

                  Joined:
                  Oct 29, 2006
                  Messages:
                  44,916
                  Gender:
                  Male
                  Occupation:
                  Philosophy of people
                  Location:
                  In a barn somewhere in North Kent
                  Ratings:
                  +92,120
                  Good afternoon @Scrungee my friend thankyou that will do for me until I find a lower one:heehee:

                  Capture.PNG
                   
                  • Funny Funny x 1
                  • lolimac

                    lolimac Total Gardener

                    Joined:
                    Feb 4, 2019
                    Messages:
                    1,529
                    Gender:
                    Female
                    Location:
                    East Riding of Yorkshire
                    Ratings:
                    +5,085
                    Can't keep up with East Riding of Yorkshire figures,they're up and down every time I look..all I do know is it's way to high.
                     
                    • Informative Informative x 1
                    • Friendly Friendly x 1
                    Loading...

                    Share This Page

                    1. This site uses cookies to help personalise content, tailor your experience and to keep you logged in if you register.
                      By continuing to use this site, you are consenting to our use of cookies.
                      Dismiss Notice